Will "How to Catch an AI Liar: Lie Detection in Bla..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Plus
1
Ṁ100Feb 1
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post How to Catch an AI Liar: Lie Detection in Black-Box LLMs by Asking Unrelated Questions is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "How it feels to have your mind hacked by an AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
32% chance
Will "Speaking to Congressional staffers about AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
32% chance
Will "Why Not Just... Build Weak AI Tools For AI Al..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "The Checklist: What Succeeding at AI Safety W..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
36% chance
Will "AI Timelines" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
79% chance
Will "Talking publicly about AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "AI Control: Improving Safety Despite Intentio..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
86% chance
Will "What I Would Do If I Were Working On AI Gover..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Would catching your AIs trying to escape conv..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "My Clients, The Liars" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance