As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.

This market will resolve to 100% if the post Effective Aspersions: How the Nonlinear Investigation Went Wrong is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.