Will "Does Pentagon Pizza Theory Work?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
2
Ṁ1kṀ512028
13%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Does Pentagon Pizza Theory Work? is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Von Neumann's Fallacy and You" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "How Well Does RL Scale?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Fiction" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
25% chance
Will "A computational no-coincidence principle" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Unexpected Things that are People" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Some articles in “International Security” tha..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Omelas Is Perfectly Misread" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "The News is Never Neglected" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Attribution-based parameter decomposition" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The Cats are On To Something" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
12% chance