Will "Current AIs Provide Nearly No Data Relevant t..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
1
Ṁ10Feb 1
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Current AIs Provide Nearly No Data Relevant to AGI Alignment is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Deep atheism and AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
42% chance
Will "The Field of AI Alignment: A Postmortem, and ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
28% chance
Will "The Case Against AI Control Research" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
32% chance
Will "Many arguments for AI x-risk are wrong" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "AI companies are unlikely to make high-assura..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "Predictable updating about AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
49% chance
Will "AI companies aren't really using external eva..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "things that confuse me about the current AI m..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "AI Timelines" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
79% chance
Will "2023 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance