Will "Connecting the Dots: LLMs can Infer & Verbali..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Plus
1
Ṁ502026
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Connecting the Dots: LLMs can Infer & Verbalize Latent Structure from Training Data is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Alignment Implications of LLM Successes: a De..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
57% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "A stylized dialogue on John Wentworth's claim..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "An Extremely Opinionated Annotated List of My..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
38% chance
Will "You can just spontaneously call people you ha..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "Revealing Intentionality In Language Models T..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Refusal in LLMs is mediated by a single direction" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "“Reframing Superintelligence” + LLMs + 4 years" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "How LLMs are and are not myopic" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Agentized LLMs will change the alignment land..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
10% chance