Will "Can activation verbalizers surface an interna..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
0
Ṁ1k2028
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Can activation verbalizers surface an internal chain of thought? is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Activation space interpretability may be doomed" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Activation Oracles: Training and Evaluating L..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Emergent Introspective Awareness in Large Lan..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "On the functional self of LLMs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Opus 4.6 Reasoning Doesn't Verbalize Alignmen..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "How I talk to those above me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "On The Independence Axiom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
44% chance
Will "AIs can now often do massive easy-to-verify S..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Natural Latents: Latent Variables Stable Acro..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Convergent Abstraction Hypothesis" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
8% chance