
Will "Announcing Apollo Research" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
3
Ṁ130Feb 1
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Announcing Apollo Research is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "OpenAI #10: Reflections" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "Introducing Open Asteroid Impact" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Shallow review of live agendas in alignment &..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
61% chance
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
80% chance
Will "What Goes Without Saying" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "EIS XIII: Reflections on Anthropic’s SAE Rese..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "Timaeus's First Four Months" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
80% chance
Will "Announcing ILIAD — Theoretical AI Alignment ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "The Dial of Progress" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance