Will "A Shutdown Problem Proposal" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Basic
1
Ṁ102026
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post A Shutdown Problem Proposal is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Shutting Down the Lightcone Offices" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "My views on “doom”" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
53% chance
Will "Shallow review of live agendas in alignment &..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
61% chance
Will "Updatelessness doesn't solve most problems" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
55% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "The Dial of Progress" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "Shutting down AI is not enough. We need to de..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Response to Aschenbrenner's "Situational Awar..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "The impossible problem of due process" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
20% chance
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance