Will "A bird's eye view of ARC's research" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
1
100Ṁ162026
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post A bird's eye view of ARC's research is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will "Arbital has been imported to LessWrong" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
7% chance
Will "The Median Researcher Problem" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Fields that I reference when thinking about A..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "EIS XIII: Reflections on Anthropic’s SAE Rese..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "2023 Survey Results" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
2% chance
Will "Investigating the Chart of the Century: Why i..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Passages I Highlighted in The Letters of J.R...." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "LLM Applications I Want To See" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "What Goes Without Saying" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Non-Disparagement Canaries for OpenAI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
18% chance