Will LessWrong actually pay out the Good Heart Tokens
12
112
Ṁ849Ṁ106
resolved Sep 2
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mz3hwS4c9bc9EHAm9/replacing-karma-with-good-heart-tokens-worth-usd1
This is (quite obviously) an April Fools' post, but it's not 100% clear whether the payouts will be real.
Pointing YES: minimum payout, caps on payout
Pointing NO: April Fools', obvious shitpost, no obvious value in actually paying out
Apr 1, 10:28pm: I messed up the closing time :( Anyway, I'll resolve as soon as I get confirmation of a payment happening, although it looks like it will be a YES
Get Ṁ500 play money
Related questions
How much will GiveWell raise from donors other than Open Philanthropy in 2022, in millions of dollars?
Tetra
Will GiveWell say that Dispensers for Safe Water are less than 6.5x as effective as GiveDirectly before 2024?
Nathan Young
Will projects funded via Manifund be able to issue additional impact certificates for sale on the platform in 2023?
Brian T. Edwards
Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Will Givewell have raised more than $600M total in 2022
Marcus Abramovitch
How many USD will the Long Term Future Fund (LTFF) pay out in 2023?
Tassilo Neubauer
How many more NO LOAN days will there be in 2023? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]
Joshua 🦚
Will $50mm worth of SBF political donations be clawed back or voluntarily returned by the end of 2023?
Brian T. Edwards
Will the US Child Tax Credit provide the maximum benefit to filers with no earnings in the 2023 tax year?
Max Ghenis
At the end of 2023, will Givewell still be the top recipient from Manifold for Charity?
Isaac King
Will there be a new major longtermist funder before the end of 2024?
Jonas Vollmer
Will the Long Cramer Fund outperform the Inverse Cramer Fund in 2023?
Jack
Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?
Nathan Young
After the Unity debacle, will the Godot Engine Development Fund reach €70,000 / month before the end of 2023?
Dan. W.
Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?
Nathan Young
Will the Survival and Flourishing.Fund (SFF) fund a longevity organization/person in any or all of 2023?
CockatooThiel
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ113 | |
| 2 | Ṁ53 | |
| 3 | Ṁ21 | |
| 4 | Ṁ7 | |
| 5 | Ṁ3 |
Sort by:
Leonardo Taglialegne (minpredicted NO
I still haven't received any reliable information on how this played out in the end???
Leonardo Taglialegne (minpredicted NO
@April eh, I'm going to trust you on this. Thanks for the info
Related questions
How much will GiveWell raise from donors other than Open Philanthropy in 2022, in millions of dollars?
Tetra
Will GiveWell say that Dispensers for Safe Water are less than 6.5x as effective as GiveDirectly before 2024?
Nathan Young
Will projects funded via Manifund be able to issue additional impact certificates for sale on the platform in 2023?
Brian T. Edwards
Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Will Givewell have raised more than $600M total in 2022
Marcus Abramovitch
How many USD will the Long Term Future Fund (LTFF) pay out in 2023?
Tassilo Neubauer
How many more NO LOAN days will there be in 2023? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]
Joshua 🦚
Will $50mm worth of SBF political donations be clawed back or voluntarily returned by the end of 2023?
Brian T. Edwards
Will the US Child Tax Credit provide the maximum benefit to filers with no earnings in the 2023 tax year?
Max Ghenis
At the end of 2023, will Givewell still be the top recipient from Manifold for Charity?
Isaac King
Will there be a new major longtermist funder before the end of 2024?
Jonas Vollmer
Will the Long Cramer Fund outperform the Inverse Cramer Fund in 2023?
Jack
Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?
Nathan Young
After the Unity debacle, will the Godot Engine Development Fund reach €70,000 / month before the end of 2023?
Dan. W.
Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?
Nathan Young
Will the Survival and Flourishing.Fund (SFF) fund a longevity organization/person in any or all of 2023?
CockatooThiel
Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?
Nathan Young
Will GiveWell get a new $100M (inflation-adjusted) cumulative donor before 2025?
Nathan Young
By 2024, will I think that it was good that GiveDirectly had a large and well-paid C-suite (President, MD, etc)?
Nathan Young
Will I officially grant at least M$10,000 more in 2023?
Conflux