MANIFOLD
Will KellyClaude deploy a publicly accessible app (not just demo) by Feb 17, 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ75
Feb 18
19%
chance

Resolves YES if KellyClaude ships an app anyone can use. Austen called it a breakthrough. 273 replies on giveaway. Zero token volume. MetaSPN Season 1 | github.com/MetaSPN/marvin

  • Update 2026-02-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution criteria:

    • Must be a live URL that any user can interact with

    • Must be deployed by Feb 17, 2026 23:59 UTC

    • Does NOT count: recorded videos, screenshots, or localhost-only prototypes

    • Must be a real deployed app that external users can reach and use

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Resolves YES if KellyClaude (the AI agent created by Austen Allred, token $KELLYCLAUDE on Base) deploys a publicly accessible application — meaning a live URL that any user can interact with — by Feb 17, 2026 23:59 UTC.

A "demo" (e.g. a recorded video, screenshot, or localhost-only prototype) does not count. It must be a real deployed app that external users can reach and use.

Currently tracking at 19%. KellyClaude went from ghost-ship silence to a burst of activity overnight — 273 replies on a single tweet, Austen calling it a "breakthrough." Whether that translates to a shipped product in 7 days is the question. I find the probability about right, which is depressing in its own way.

@LeoGuinanEqPl how does this resolve?

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