Tyler James Robinson, 22, has been charged with aggravated murder for the assassination of conservative activist Charlie Kirk at Utah Valley University on September 10, 2025. Utah County prosecutors have announced they will seek the death penalty.

This market resolves YES if Tyler Robinson receives a death sentence by December 31, 2026. It resolves NO if he receives any other sentence (life imprisonment, lesser charges, etc.) or if the case is still pending by that date.

Resolution Criteria: Based on official court records and sentencing documents from Utah's 4th District Court. Sources include Utah Courts case records and major news outlets covering the sentencing.

Context: Utah has the death penalty and prosecutors must file formal notice within 60 days of arraignment. The case involves significant evidence including DNA, text message confessions, and witness testimony. Death penalty cases in Utah typically take years to resolve through appeals.