Before which day (excluding the day) will Iran launch a direct attack on Israel’s territory (including economic waters) in retaliation of Haniyeh’s assassination?
Iranian proxies don’t count, as well as attacks not aimed at Israeli territory. Day starts at 00:00 Israel time. Will resolve by time of launch as reported by reputable media sources, not time of hit. Launching an attack would suffice, it doesn’t have to hit the target.
1,000
3.00Someone bought M500 Oct 1 yes to 96% after midnight had already passed…
@nsokolsky Iran is a pathetic weakling state. Continuing to bet they’ll be too scared to retaliate.
@LiamRutherford Iran is all talk and no show. They’re a pathetic state in terms of military capabilities. They knew that Israel could annihilate a huge percentage of their critical infrastructure within hours if they tried a serious counter attack, so they’ve chickened out and didn’t do anything.
@JesWolfe So far, your prediction of big losses hasn't materialized.
I'm so far +90% profit on this market (all of which came from no bets, of course).
At time of me writing this the highest remaining number is 17%, which is a lot more reasonable than before and offers me far less profit margin.
Worry about possible steamrollers if you wish. I picked up a bunch of the money and made it home, and they're still not in sight.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/16/world/middleeast/iran-israel-hamas-cease-fire.html
They've chickened out, just as expected.
@MaxArvo 1k No at 51% for 2h, if you would like to continue buying yes.
