Will Congress pass a new Ukraine aid package by the end of February 2024?
97
1.3K
Ṁ55KṀ1.3K
resolved Mar 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
This has the same resolution criteria as https://manifold.markets/Domer/will-the-united-states-congress-pas, but with a different resolution date.
The package must have >$1 billion in new aid to Ukraine, and the House and Senate must pass the same version of the bill by February 29th to resolve YES. Otherwise, resolves NO.
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ483 | |
2 | Ṁ331 | |
3 | Ṁ156 | |
4 | Ṁ84 | |
5 | Ṁ71 |
Sort by:
bought Ṁ60 NO
6 days left that the House is in session (excluding today), and four of them are this week. Doesn't seem likely it will get passed this week in both chambers, and even if the Senate passes this week I don't see it quickly getting passed on the 28th or 29th when the House comes back in session.
Related questions
Will any country admit to sending troops to Ukraine by the end of 2024?
26% chance
Will NATO approve $100B to Ukraine by the end of 2024?
53% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2026?
57% chance
Will the US support a negotiated settlement in Ukraine by the end of 2024?
20% chance
If the Republican party wins the 2024 US election, will Ukraine recover all its territory by Feb 2029?
14% chance
Will the Ukraine war be over by the end of 2024?
11% chance
If the Democratic party wins the 2024 US election, will Ukraine recover all its territory by Feb 2029?
13% chance
Will the USA pass the aid bill for Ukraine?
93% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2024?
11% chance