Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the Gambia men's national football team (representing the Gambia Football Federation) successfully qualifies for the final tournament of the 2030 FIFA World Cup.

The market will resolve to NO if Gambia fails to qualify, is officially eliminated during the CAF qualifying rounds, or if the qualification process concludes without Gambia securing a spot.

Sources of verification:

• Official FIFA World Cup tournament page: FIFA.com

• Official Confederation of African Football (CAF) portal: CAFonline.com

Note: If the 2030 FIFA World Cup is canceled or rescheduled to start after December 31, 2031, this market will resolve to N/A.

Background

The Gambia national football team, nicknamed "The Scorpions," has never qualified for a FIFA World Cup tournament. However, the nation has shown competitive improvement in recent years, qualifying for its first Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) in 2021 (reaching the quarter-finals) and returning in 2023. During the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers, Gambia finished third in Group F with 13 points (4 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses), behind Ivory Coast and Gabon.

The 24th FIFA World Cup in 2030 will feature 48 teams and will be co-hosted by Morocco, Portugal, and Spain, with celebratory centenary matches held in Uruguay, Argentina, and Paraguay. Qualifying matches for the African confederation (CAF) are scheduled to begin in 2027.