Will at least one member of Nijisanji EN graduate before the end of 2023?
7
closes Dec 31
78%
chance

NIJISANJI EN is a branch of NIJISANJI, consisting of English-speaking virtual youtubers (vtubers).

A "graduation" is when a vtuber ceases all of their activities on all streaming platforms and all social media platforms. Note that both leaving on good terms and having one's contract terminated due to misconduct count as a "graduation".

Nijisanji EN exists since May 2021, and as of 17.03.2023 two members out of 32 have graduated.

If at least one member of Nijisanji EN (not including those two members who have already graduated) will graduate before 31.12.2023 23:59, this market will be resolved as "YES".

Sort by:
Tripping avatar
Tripping

So not including the two who already graduated? Also I don't really agree with the terminology, graduation and terminations are both retirements of a sort but it's not really right to call the entire bucket graduation.

LavrovAndrey avatar
Lavrov Andrey

@Tripping No, not including those two (I edited the description just now, btw). As for terminology - for the purpose of this market both retirement and termination count, and colloquially fans usually call both "graduation".

Related markets

Will I still be in my degree by end of 2025?48%
Will I still be in my degree by the end of 2025?62%
Will we see any new Spice and Wolf before 2024?23%
Will One Piece still be publishing new manga in 2030?37%
Will I complete another quarter/semester of college before the end of 2026?64%
Will at least 7 of the new Effective Altruism university groups in the Netherlands still be active in June 2024?51%
Will [person1] have a job by July 1, 2023?43%
Will Nate Silver leave 538 by the end of 2023?92%
Will there be a falling out larger than Mr. Girl by the end of 2023?17%
Will GiveWell research Ultra Poor Graduation initiatives before January 2026?56%
Will I return to work on Nomic before the end of 2023?64%
Will I be engaged at the end of Q2 2023?19%
Will GiveWell fund/recommend Ultra Poor Graduation initiatives before January 2028?31%
Will we reach AGI by the End of 2023?3%
Will MrGirl release another update to the article before June 1, 2023?2%
Will there be a new major longtermist funder before the end of 2024?64%
Will a non-crappy video equivalent of dall-e be published before June 2023?21%
Will I finish reading Probability Theory: The Logic of Science by E. T. Jaynes by the end of 2023?65%
Will I go on a date with a cute nerdy guy in 2023?96%
Will tpot bluesky arc end by the end of June 2023?70%