Will Russia formally turn off natural gas exports to a European country by April 1st 2022?
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Ṁ100Ṁ1kresolved Apr 1
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CON: Oil exports are a significant portion of Russia's economy. Formally embargoing sales to a European nation would represent a significant escalation in the crisis.
PRO: Embargoing fertilizer exports is *also* an escalation.
CON: Fertilizer exports don't represent a significant portion of Russia's economy.