
Will "Greater Idaho" come to pass by 2025? (Resolves YES if Idaho's borders expand)
15
1kṀ10492027
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Context: There's a movement to get a bunch of conservative counties in Oregon to become part of Idaho instead.
Their website is here:
https://www.greateridaho.org/about-greater-idaho/
Presumably they will face an uphill legal battle, but they claim to have a lot of support from the counties in question.
This market resolves YES if Idaho's borders expand before 2025, and the expansion comes from at least one of the listed counties leaving Oregon and joining Idaho.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Small changes to state boundaries are more common than I thought (Territorial evolution of the United States - Wikipedia), with the most recent change in 2017. But as far as I can tell, entire counties haven't changed state since West Virginia in 1863.
X
Related questions
Related questions
Will Idaho take 10%+ of Oregon's land before 2030?
13% chance
Will a Democrat win Idaho for President by 2050?
36% chance
Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2040?
28% chance
Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034?
27% chance
Will there be a 51st state in the USA before 2026?
2% chance
Will there be a new US State by 2055?
51% chance
Will there be a 51st state by Halloween 2035?
25% chance
Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2026?
7% chance
Will 3 or more Idaho libraries transition to "Adults Only" in 2024?
8% chance
Will the United States have a number of states other than 50 before 2030?
11% chance