In 2030, will the Bay Area retain its dominant role and position?
Basic
7
Ṁ94
2029
81%
chance

I'm duplicating Carson Gale's market, but setting the date to 2030 instead of 2023. Otherwise I'll use the same resolution criteria he posted, but I'll be the one resolving this one:
https://manifold.markets/CarsonGale/in-2023-will-the-bay-area-retain-it
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On January 4th, 2023 Term Sheet, a well-known financial newsletter by Fortune (typically regarding PE/VC) posted a series of predictions regarding the calendar year 2023.

One of these predictions was the following:

We firmly believe the San Francisco Bay Area will retain its dominant role and position—despite all reports and predictions to the contrary.”  —Andy Stinnes, general partner, Cloud Apps Capital Partners

I will not attempt to initially define all resolution criteria in this market and will instead attempt to handle any nuances/complications/data feasibility as it arises. If by end of [2030] I think it is not possible to confidently resolve this market in the spirit in which it was intended, I reserve the right to resolve as "n/a".

Any clarifications to the resolution criteria will be listed below, along with the applicable date:

  • [TBU]

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