Companion market to this one:
https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/how-many-companies-on-this-list-wil?r=TGFyc0RvdWNldA
This market resolves to the number of companies in the following list that have had one or more lawsuits filed against them at the state or federal level, and the suit is settled out of court, or the case is dismissed, or the suit goes to trial and a ruling is reached before 2025 (it doesn't matter if a ruling is appealed for this market's purposes). The lawsuits must substantially concern copyright infringement in some manner and must specifically be related to an AI product or service. Other IP disputes (patents, trademarks, trade secrets) won't count, nor will a suit that only tangentially mentions copyright -- copyright must be at the center of the complaint.
The list:
OpenAI
Meta/Facebook
Alphabet/Google
Adobe
Microsoft
Amazon
Apple
Netflix
Salesforce
Stripe
Tesla
Oracle
NVIDIA
Epic Games
Disney
A suit against a subsidiary that is more than 50% owned by any of the listed companies will count for the purposes of this market. The maximum number of suits per company that will be counted is 1 (so if only Microsoft gets sued, but it gets sued 100 times, this market resolves to 1). Also, yes, suits BETWEEN companies on this list count too. So if Microsoft and Google sue eachother, that would count as 2.
For the purpose of clarity, the clock starts ticking retroactively. So if a company has already been sued on these grounds, and a trial date has already been set, then that counts for the purpose of this market.
EDIT: I forgot Github is owned by Microsoft so I took it off the list, otherwise that would make resolution ambiguous.