
Will January 2025 will be the warmest month of January ever recorded (global) ?
19
100Ṁ715resolved Feb 17
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Source:
Global temperature data from Copernicus Climate Bulletins
Dataset: ERA5 Single Levels Data
Tie Resolution: A tie (when the temperature matches previous records up to two significant digits) will resolve as NO. Only two significant digits will be used to determine the outcome.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ58 | |
2 | Ṁ28 | |
3 | Ṁ26 | |
4 | Ṁ19 | |
5 | Ṁ19 |
Sort by:
January 2025 was the warmest January globally, with an average ERA5 surface air temperature of 13.23°C, 0.79°C above the 1991-2020 average for January.
January 2025 was 1.75°C above the pre-industrial level and was the 18th month in the last nineteen for which the global-average surface air temperature was more than 1.5°C above the pre-industrial level.
https://climate.copernicus.eu/climate-bulletins
resolve please @LCBOB
Related questions
Related questions
Which months in 2025 will become “hottest (corresponding month) on record”, globally?
Will March 2025 be the hottest March ever? [NCEI]
35% chance
Will March 2025 will be the warmest month of March ever recorded (global) ?
35% chance
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
39% chance
Will April 2025 be the hottest April ever? [NCEI]
30% chance
Will April 2025 will be the warmest month of April ever recorded (global) ?
32% chance
Will May 2025 be the hottest May ever? [NCEI]
28% chance
2025 February hottest on record? (resolves from GIStemp data)
2% chance
2025 February hottest on record?
1% chance
Will 2025 be the warmest year on record?
39% chance