When will OpenAI release o1? (exact month)
Basic
6
Ṁ459
2025
2%
November 2024
79%
December 2024
16%
January 2025
16%
February 2025
16%
March 2025
16%
April 2025
16%
May 2025
16%
June 2025
11%
July 2025
11%
August 2025
11%
September 2025
11%
October 2025
11%
November 2025
8%
December 2025
8%
January 2026
8%
February 2026
6%
March 2026
6%
April 2026
6%
May 2026
5%
June 2026

Background OpenAI has already released their o1 models (o1-preview and o1-mini) in September 2024. This market appears to be outdated.

Resolution Criteria This market should resolve N/A for all options since the event in question (the release of OpenAI's o1 models) has already occurred before the earliest possible resolution date listed in the options (November 2024).

Considerations

  • The premise of this market is no longer valid since o1 has already been released

  • If you're interested in predicting future OpenAI model releases, consider creating a new market about subsequent versions or updates to the o1 model family

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