When will OpenAI release o1? (exact month)
Basic
6
Ṁ459
resolved Dec 11
Resolved
NO
November 2024
Resolved
YES
December 2024
Resolved
NO
January 2025
Resolved
NO
February 2025
Resolved
NO
March 2025
Resolved
NO
April 2025
Resolved
NO
May 2025
Resolved
NO
June 2025
Resolved
NO
July 2025
Resolved
NO
August 2025
Resolved
NO
September 2025
Resolved
NO
October 2025
Resolved
NO
November 2025
Resolved
NO
December 2025
Resolved
NO
January 2026
Resolved
NO
February 2026
Resolved
NO
March 2026
Resolved
NO
April 2026
Resolved
NO
May 2026
Resolved
NO
June 2026

Background OpenAI has already released their o1 models (o1-preview and o1-mini) in September 2024. This market appears to be outdated.

Resolution Criteria This market should resolve N/A for all options since the event in question (the release of OpenAI's o1 models) has already occurred before the earliest possible resolution date listed in the options (November 2024).

Considerations

  • The premise of this market is no longer valid since o1 has already been released

  • If you're interested in predicting future OpenAI model releases, consider creating a new market about subsequent versions or updates to the o1 model family

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