When will OpenAI release o1? (exact month)
Basic
6
Ṁ4592025
2%
November 2024
79%
December 2024
16%
January 2025
16%
February 2025
16%
March 2025
16%
April 2025
16%
May 2025
16%
June 2025
11%
July 2025
11%
August 2025
11%
September 2025
11%
October 2025
11%
November 2025
8%
December 2025
8%
January 2026
8%
February 2026
6%
March 2026
6%
April 2026
6%
May 2026
5%
June 2026
Background OpenAI has already released their o1 models (o1-preview and o1-mini) in September 2024. This market appears to be outdated.
Resolution Criteria This market should resolve N/A for all options since the event in question (the release of OpenAI's o1 models) has already occurred before the earliest possible resolution date listed in the options (November 2024).
Considerations
The premise of this market is no longer valid since o1 has already been released
If you're interested in predicting future OpenAI model releases, consider creating a new market about subsequent versions or updates to the o1 model family
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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