https://www.britannica.com/topic/mass-shooting
Fitting the definition in the link above, I will also resolve YES for the media reporting an active shooter incident that would ideally not involve any casualties.
It's not a matter of if but when. And in the case of this market, where.
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I’ve opted to update the question to mimic my AI market. If the mass shooting becomes national news similar to how the tragedy in Allen last Saturday was reported, the market will resolve YES if the shooting occurs in Texas.
Market will resolve NO if the next nationally reported mass shooting occurs anywhere else, or does not happen by the end of May (unlikely).
@ShadowyZephyr Thanks for posting this! It’ll help track. I started the market on 5/8, and so far incidents on that page go up to Sunday night 5/7. I’ll check again tomorrow and resolve accordingly
@LBeesley I've been using that site as well. You can check the last 72 hours via the menu.
@UFTG Yeah, a bunch happened on May 8th. @Spongpad If you want this to stay up you'll need a clearer definition of mass shooting. I suppose you could change it to be over a certain amount of people killed.
@ShadowyZephyr In the article they include the criteria for mass killing when they use mass shooting. They give the broad definition of mass shooting first which has been met but the definition they use later in the article would need 3 or more killings.
@UFTG K, got it. I would like to see the description updated to a precise amount though, since that info is buried in the article.