Will the MLB World Series winner in 2023 be among the lower half of teams in terms of projected team payroll?
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resolved Nov 4
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predicted NO

Resolves No

The Diamondbacks and Rangers are both coming in hot for this World Series. Before it begins, it’s basically 50/50, but I can understand it needed a bump from how low it got when only Arizona remained during the LCS.

Happy manifolding!

Arizona must win tonight, or this resolves NO.

predicted YES

There are 8 teams left...Only 3 of them are in the bottom half.
ALDS:
MIN(17th) is tied 1-1 with HOU(10th)
BAL(29th) down 0-2 to TEX (9th)

NLDS:
ARI (21st) is up 2-0 over LAD(5th)

The series where neither team is in the lower half of team payroll is Atlanta/Phillies.

You'd think this market would be near 37%?

In my dream world MIN will play ARI 😂 in the World Series :)

@Iamczecksy That’s the raw score (3/8), sure. I’m not certain, off the top of my head and not liking at the bracket, that if two of the three remaining teams win that they wouldn’t be slated to eliminate one another.

Based on the link in the original question, and before any playoff game begins, the market would ideally set around 42% since six teams in the bottom half of opening day payroll have qualified, but two of the six teams play one another in the first round. It’ll be interesting to see how this market progresses as teams advance/are eliminated.