Heat index or any of those "feels like" notes for humidity-driven states will not count. The recorded high temperature must be captured on the NOAA website and archived.
Resolves YES if any location within the continental United States records a temperature above 134 degrees Fahrenheit (56.667 Celsius) before September 23, 2023.
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@parhizj Two more weeks of the dog days, unfortunately. And considering a spot outside of Death Valley was flirting with 130 earlier in the month, I still wouldn't rule it out.
The threshold is high, though, so I understand where you're coming from.
@LBeesley it's a 110 year old record, so the baseline expectation should be that it's very unlikely to be beaten in any given year. Hell, I don't even think it's gotten close (>130F) since then, so it might have been some freak aberration unlikely to repeat for a very long time (or bad equipment/measurement ???). Current forecast Furnace Creek is fairly frigid:
Max temperature ever in August is 4F lower than the July record, and August is the only other month with a >=130F reading. Odds of breaking record should drop to well bellow 5% if we get to the end of August.
Yesterday, Baker, CA, reported a temperature of 129F. Y’all stay hydrated, you hear me, mfs?
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=nathilo&version=0&fmt=reg
Looking at forecasts for the most likely to beat the record, Furnace Creek, Death Valley, it won't likely happen this weekend (there was some dated forecasts showing slightly above ~130F), but the current forecast looks like it won't happen today/Sunday.
As I don't foresee the record being broken anywhere else in the US, nor any time in the near future looking at the 5-day forecast for Furnace Creek, nor extended future (given it's the peak of summer), I am betting NO. I don't expect to update with any more bets.
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?w0=t&w1=td&w2=hi&w3=sfcwind&w4=sky&w5=pop&w6=rh&w7=rain&w8=thunder&AheadHour=0&Submit=Submit&&FcstType=digital&textField1=36.448&textField2=-116.8658&site=all&dd=1&bw=1
@parhizj CA often has late season heat waves in a normal year, though I'm not aware of Death Valley's specific cycles. wouldn't be surprised if this ticked over in Aug, Sept, or even early Oct
@Stralor From my local forecaster this morning: 'the heat dome that is present will be shifting East'
@Stralor the distinction is between "ground temperature" and "ground surface temperature", the market creator refers to ground temperature record of 134 (wmo)
@Davida I was not aware. I thought for sure Saudi Arabia or giga Chad would have a higher temp closer to the equator.
But seeing that along the border all the way over to Death Valley has been pushing 115-120 already has me wondering if will get to 130 or more.