MANIFOLD
Which of the following semiconductor/GPU companies will have the highest overall change in stock price in CY2025?
6
αΉ€1kαΉ€3.4k
resolved Jan 1
100%95%
Intel (INTC)
3%
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)
1.6%
Broadcom Inc (AVGO)
0.9%
Qualcomm (QCOM)

I intentionally excluded NVIDIA because the market I created last year was pretty lopsided.

These are major companies in the same industry that I want to track during the year. Here are the opening prices from 1/2/2025 for each of these companies:

AMD - $122.33
AVGO - $236.10
INTC - $20.21
QCOM - $155.21

Final result will be change in its individual stock price from opening 1/2/2025 to close 12/31/2025, not which company ends with the highest market cap or highest stock price or volume.

  • Update 2025-08-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Default resolution: Highest percentage change (up or down) in stock price from the 1/2/2025 open to the 12/31/2025 close.

    • Alternative on request: The creator may instead resolve by the highest raw dollar change (total gain or loss).

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I see this one is going to be a photo finish before close of trading.

I had no idea Broadcom dipped so hard in the month of December, but with multiple industry markets to track, I noticed I didn't get to this one this month.

Final resolution will likely be AMD (~+79%) or Intel (~+84%) depending on any individual drastic fluctuations in the last 3+ hours of trading on the year.

@LBeesley resolves INTC

Update 11/30:

AMD - $122.33 ($217.43 as of close 11/28: +77.74%)
AVGO - $236.10 ($402.96 as of close 11/28: +70.67%)
INTC - $20.21 ($40.56 as of close 11/28: +100.69%)
QCOM - $155.21 ($168.03 as of close 11/28: +8.26%)

See note from August. I'll resolve over new year break.

Update 8/15:

AMD - $122.33 ($180.95 as of close 8/14: +47.91%)
AVGO - $236.10 ($311.23 as of close 8/14: +31.82%)
INTC - $20.21 ($23.86 as of close 8/14: +18.06%)
QCOM - $155.21 ($158.09 as of close 8/14: +1.86%)

As I mentioned in the defense market question I have set up, the way I worded this question means I may resolve based on the raw total gain or loss if there is a request to do so. Otherwise, I'll resolve based on the originally intended highest percentage change gain or loss.

bought αΉ€200 YES

Relative changes of each company as of now:

AMD: 7.38%

AVGO: 7.53%

INTC: 4.38%

WCOM: -1.56%

Absolute numbers look basically the same

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