Only listing teams that finished with 100 or more wins last season. Will add teams manually since I’m a noob; please request in comments.
Teams in this market will resolve NO early after they lose their 63rd game.
@LBeesley Brewers finally managed to lose #63 today, eliminating the slim chance that they could have been the only 100-win team remaining.
@LBeesley The Atlanta Braves can be resolved NO; they have 64 losses.
This is some of the craziest parity I’ve seen in my lifetime. Several of these teams were easily on pace for 100+, but currently the top teams are on pace for 94-95. Below are the teams with 70+ wins, even if they aren’t in the market explicitly (projected win total for 162 games at their current win % in parentheses):
Philadelphia Phillies, 73 wins (95-96)
Baltimore Orioles, 73 wins (94-95)
Los Angeles Dodgers, 73 wins (94-95)
New York Yankees, 73 wins (94-95)
Cleveland Guardians, 72 wins (94)
Milwaukee Brewers, 72 wins (94)
Minnesota Twins, 70 wins (91-92)
San Diego Padres, 70 wins (90-91)
Any of these teams could get hot and win 30 of their last 40. Or none of them could, which means the “no teams” option is way lower than it should be. If I bet on my own markets, I’d beef it up, but I’ll leave that to you.
Adding a mid season update to mirror my loss market. Here are the remaining games count and required minimum win percentage (WP) reach 100 wins for each team identified so far (WP because “magic number” matches for several teams but the delta is their number of remaining games):
Philadelphia Phillies, 66 games remaining: 0.576 WP (win 38 games or more to reach 100 wins)
Cleveland Guardians, 67 games remaining: 0.627 WP (win 42 games or more to reach 100 wins)
Baltimore Orioles, 66 games remaining: 0.637 WP (win 42 games or more to reach 100 wins)
New York Yankees, 64 games remaining: 0.656 WP (win 42 games or more to reach 100 wins)
Los Angeles Dodgers, 65 games remaining: 0.677 WP (win 44 games or more to reach 100 wins)
Atlanta Braves, 67 games remaining: 0.701 WP (win 47 games or more to reach 100 wins)