Which 2024 MLB Rookie of the Year candidate will have the best sophomore season?
2
100Ṁ61
Nov 8
94%
Paul Skenes (2024 NL RoY, 5.9 bWAR)
50%
Luis Gil (2024 AL RoY, 3.1 bWAR)
50%
Jackson Chourio (2024 - 3.8 bWAR)
40%
Jackson Merrill (2024 - 4.4 bWAR)
40%
Colton Cowser (2024 - 3.1 bWAR)
40%
Austin Wells (2024 - 2.5 bWAR)

Wanted to add a new market for the rookies from last season. It’s interesting to track whether or not second-year full-time players experience the “sophomore slump.” Recent examples include Corbin Carroll (5.4 bWAR in his 2023 NL Rookie of the Year campaign to 3.4 bWAR last season) and Steven Kwan (5.6 bWAR in 2022, where he finished third in AL Rookie of the Year voting, to 3.6 bWAR in 2023).

It’s not always going to be a complete implosion so much as a regression to the mean, but I’m curious to see who can best beat the expected sophomore slump.

I only added the top 3 vote-getters from the AL and NL in 2024, but any of the remaining five vote getters can be added later. May add liquidity at a later date.

As with other individual player markets, if a two-way player qualifies, the sum of his hitting and pitching bWAR will be summed if he logs a minimum of 54 IP during the regular season.

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