In the 2022 United States general election, will one or more anti-authoritarian-GOTV or other vote splitting campaigns appear to contribute enough votes to sway an election?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ100resolved Feb 17
Resolved
N/A1H
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Market resolves to YES if, two weeks after general election, analysis of voting reporting data indicates a coordinated third party bloc probably used coordinated voting to win an election for anti-authoritarian candidates of either red or blue team.
I will attempt to be corrigible with my resolution strategy, but it may be refined after question asking. I expect to use sources like FiveThirtyEight to resolve this.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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