[Redwood Research: Kshitij/Dmz project]: Will the paper be submitted to NeurIPS (may 17th deadline)?
3
resolved Apr 15
Resolved
NO

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ30
2Ṁ18
3Ṁ5

Related markets

[Redwood Research] How many weeks (starting from 5/29, inclusive) until Gabe/Kshitij have solid top of sandwich results?4
Will the number of ArXiv papers (min. 100 likes) posted on Twitter decline >50% in the next year?22%
Will the Cognitive Revolution get 10k views?75%
Will we achieve pretty clear evidence of high goodness for Function Correctness v2.0 in one week?5%
Will we achieve pretty clear evidence of high goodness for Function Correctness v2.0 in one week?5%
Will there be any large language model I newly use daily by July 1?67%
Will the IETF working group for interoperable messaging adopt Matrix's proposal?33%
Short-Term AI #3: By the end of June 2023, will SOTA on MATH be >= 70%?68%
Will we achieve pretty clear evidence of high goodness for Function Correctness v2.0 in two weeks?15%
Will we achieve some reasonable version of Function Correctness v2.0(+) in one week?20%
Will my bot (@7) receive a bot tag before June 2?88%
Will we achieve pretty clear evidence of high goodness for Function Correctness v2.0 in one month?25%
Will the EA Forum or LessWrong start using EigenKarma by 2025 (public experiments included)? 26%
Will we achieve pretty clear evidence of high goodness for Open+Read (and later Open+Write?) in two weeks?60%
Will any question in the next Philpapers survey get at least 90% agreement?19%
Will someone be confirmed to have deciphered Cipher 1 of the Cipher Challenge before close of the challenge?48%
Will we achieve some reasonable version of Function Correctness v2.0(+) in two weeks?50%
Will we achieve some reasonable version of Function Correctness v2.0(+) in four weeks?60%
Will Cleodora get useful pull requests by 5 or more distinct people before June 1st?10%
In 2030, will the majority of the top 10 blogs in Substack’s Politics category be written by humans?86%