Will Nvidia's share price break $1000 in 2024? | Manifold

Will Nvidia's share price break $1000 in 2024?

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resolved May 22

Resolved

YES

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ALL

This market is trying to track real price change. If there is split or reverse split, the price will be treated as no split or reverse split happen.

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bought Ṁ2 YES

https://manifold.markets/Krypton/will-nvidias-share-price-break-2000?r=S3J5cHRvbg

Nvidia has dropped 8.5% so far today

bought Ṁ150 NO

The current price is at odds with the EMH. There’s a 52% chance that it breaches $1000 given a current price of 894, an implied volatility over 180 days of 0.5, a 5% risk free return and a 272 day time horizon if you model this with geometric Brownian motion.

Some limit on NO for a week or so.

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