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MANIFOLD
Will I qualify for MOP 2026?
43
Ṁ100Ṁ3.9k
resolved Apr 24
Resolved
YES

USAJMO 2024 honors (670760)

USAMO 2025 bronze (160770) - ageblocked from MOP though

current freshman

Qualified for USAJMO 2026, going for red MOP (this year I am above the minimum age)

note that i will NOT purposefully fail JMO

see https://manifold.markets/megahertz13/will-i-get-red-mop-cutoff-2026 for a similar market

this closes the day before JMO

EDIT: current predicted distribution:

optimistic:760777

expected: 740777

pessimistic:710676

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how did you do P2?

My progress:

  1. Stated right answer

  2. Showed how to get to any other achievable config

  3. Showed the order is fixed. This finishes the case when m and n are relatively prime

  4. Stated there was an invariant mod the gcd but didn't state what the invariant was

@KrithikManoharan hmmm sounds like a solid 6

orz

krithik makes

bought Ṁ100 YES

Krithik admits

@AryanAsOP WHAT buh. nou

indubitably

bought Ṁ100 YES

this was the easiest yes of my life
if you dont make it im suing youi

bought Ṁ10 YES

krithik admits

@Inferno2332 WHAT! nou

@KrithikManoharan mitter mitter mitte

@KrithikManoharan hi mitte

@LostGameZnqn buh xalse.

@KrithikManoharan what is this dumb mathnatician slang

@OlivermeGuo twdk

@OlivermeGuo yo its not dumb #haters

@LostGameZnqn im not hating alright my bad, but like its dumb if the communication is hard to learn and does not make it easier or faster to communitcate.

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