If Krantz goes on a proper date with Ben Goertzle, they will win a Nobel Prize in Philosophy.
7
100Ṁ6182030
42%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve 'na' if Krantz fails to go on a 'proper date' with Ben Goertzle by 2030.
Will resolve 'yes' if work stemming from a 'proper date' between Krantz and Ben results in a Nobel Prize for Philosophy (it would be the first one).
Will resolve 'no' if a 'proper date' occurs and neither Krantz nor Ben win the Nobel Prize in Philosophy before 2050.
Proper date defined:
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/if-aella-and-i-go-on-a-proper-date
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