MANIFOLD

Will this russian artist reach *success on Youtube?

Ṁ180Ṁ578

resolved Jan 7

Resolved

ALL

https://youtube.com/@natali_shchepetnova?si=LZxGLgcGwj_f7Q1O

*Resolves Yes if she reaches 4000 hours of watch-time on her channel AND 1000 subscribers before the end of 2024.

Otherwise resolves No on 1st jan 2025.

Market context

YouTube

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ81
2		Ṁ22
3		Ṁ13
4		Ṁ3
5		Ṁ1

People are also trading

Will my friend deid91 have success on Twitch by 2027?

20% chance

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?

45% chance

Sort by:

@mods Resolves NO, creator's account seems deleted or something (link to their profile is dead, but not the usual account-deleted page?)

@MugaSofer resolving NO, does not pass 1000 subs threshold

Important update.

There are news about potential yt ban in Russia in september. I have asked the artist, she is located in Russia and her target audience is russian-speaking.

250 subscribers

1k subs is a very mild definition for success

@ProjectVictory I know her personally and that is how she defined her aim for this year

@KongoLandwalker from her words, that is the first milestone to be achieved on YT, because it allows partner program (recieving money from ads). Other milestones in the upcoming years

People are also trading

Will my friend deid91 have success on Twitch by 2027?

20% chance

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?

45% chance

🏅 Top traders

People are also trading

People are also trading

Related questions