done https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/01/world/who-are-detainees-russia-us-prisoner-swap-intl/index.html

@KongoLandwalker resolves YES, with all 5 people in the list on CNN

I am waiting for the publishing of the final list. Likely to resolve in 3 hours if everybody is on the list.

All of the names are in Insider list

https://theins.ru/en/news/273542

It says the exchange has already happened, yet russia media say it will happen at 18:00 european time, and Flightradar showing the russian plane still in the air.

I think Insider rushed their preliminary list

I think it should be another dilemma:

(Reward putin and release dozens) XOR (do not reward and do not release)

The sentence from the article is weirdly constructed, like rewarding and releasing are mutually excluding options (when in reality it is the same option).

(That is to show my theory Insider rushed)

Aware, none of the names in this markets were yet mentioned in the leaks!

https://meduza.io/live/2024/08/01/obmen-zaklyuchennymi-mezhdu-rossiey-i-zapadom

Live feed about the exchange. We might see the names there

https://n1info.si/novice/slovenija/tajnega-sojenja-ruskima-vohunoma-je-konec-sledi-vecja-izmenjava-zapornikov/

N1 says about potential massive exchange between Russia, USA, Germany, Belarus.

Thanks for creating this question! I was going to make a market to make sense of what’s been going on with these prisoners, but I couldn’t come up with a good market structure. I added liquidity to your question and boosted it in the feed.

The press secretary of the president, Dmitry Peskov, responded to a question from *Vedomosti* about the possible preparation of prisoners, including The Wall Street Journal journalist Evan Gershkovich, for exchange by stating, "We do not comment on this topic."

Earlier, Eva Merkacheva, a member of the Presidential Human Rights Council, suggested that the alleged disappearance of well-known convicts from their places of detention could be related to a "group exchange."