This event alone could spark a whole region-war.

I do not see how assasination attempt will become significant and why people bet it up to second place. Trump was winning anyway, and it does not look like the attempt will result in any new policy or actions, which would not happen otherwise.

What if there are only 12 or fewer options by market end?

I will prevent that by adding events as the year progresses, and make sure there are at least 24 events.

If for any reason I am not present on Manifold and there are less than 24 options at the closure, then here is a message to mods:

Resolve half (rounded down) of the options to Yes.