
2024 Recap
20
Ṁ1.7kṀ3.2kresolved Sep 18
Resolved
YESChatGPT 4o
Resolved
YESUAE becoming BRICS member
Resolved
YESLai Ching-te becoming president of Taiwan
Resolved
YESCommercial Nova-C lander on the Moon
Resolved
YESSweden joins NATO
Resolved
YESArtificial Intelligence Act in EU
Resolved
YESUN GA granting Palestine the right to be seated
Resolved
YESRussia and North Korea have signed a mutual war assistance pact
Resolved
YESEU boycott Hungary’s foreign affairs summit
Resolved
YESIsmail Abd al-Salam Haniyeh assasination
Resolved
YESUkraine recieves F-16
Resolved
YESCrowdStrike update breaks Windows
Resolved
NONavalny's death
Resolved
NOPutin re-election
Resolved
NOAssasination attempt on Trump
Resolved
NO2nd August prisoners exchange
At the end of the year 12 options with the highest % will resolve YES.
Bet up those that had or will have the most impact, bet down less significant ones.
Add option with the event you think was one of the twelve most important for the world this year.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I do not see how assasination attempt will become significant and why people bet it up to second place. Trump was winning anyway, and it does not look like the attempt will result in any new policy or actions, which would not happen otherwise.