1 day before the explosion, what will be the % at the linked market about "nuclear offensive detonation in 2025"?
12
1kṀ8181Dec 31
99.0%
Explosion does not happen
0.2%
[0%, 10%)
0.2%
[10%, 20%)
0.2%
[20%, 30%)
0.2%
[30%, 40%)
0.2%
[40%, 50%)
0.2%
>50%
This market is intended to track, whether Manifold expects to have any insight in advance.
If/When the nuclear offensive detonation happens: this market closes, I will look into the linked market and find the % that was exactly 24h before the explosion. Then the interval that covers the value resolves YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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