For how many days will the jury deliberate in People v. Donald Trump (the New York criminal case)?
For how many days will the jury deliberate in People v. Donald Trump (the New York criminal case)?
94
1.5kṀ24kresolved May 30
Resolved
NOOne (jury returns a verdict the same day deliberations began, 5/29)
Resolved
NOThree
Resolved
NOFive
Resolved
NOFour
Resolved
NOSix or more
Resolved
YESTwo
Only days in which the jury is deliberating will be counted, so weekends will not count if the jury takes them off.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.