Only days in which the jury is deliberating will be counted, so weekends will not count if the jury takes them off.
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@Snarflak No, for the same reason Day One closed as "no" yesterday; the jury will have deliberated for more than two days when it concludes.
@Snarflak "One (jury returns a verdict the same day deliberations began, 5/29)" would imply "Two (jury returns a verdict the second day, 5/30)"
@Snarflak You are correct. I was working off of the reports of journalists on the scene, who misreported the jury would be dismissed. I've asked the mods to unresolve the "Two" answer. Thank you!
@Kolyin I've bought and sold Three multiple times in the past few minutes. 🤦♂️ So confused.
@Snarflak I am sincerely sorry. As per the tweet I quoted, journalists on the scene reported that the judge announced he'd be dismissing the jury for the day, which means no verdict. Apparently the jury then told the judge they'd reached a verdict.
I had no particular need to resolve the market as quickly as I did, but I did so on the basis of what would normally be a very reliable indicator that it was done for the day.
@Kolyin 34 sec ago
JUST IN: Jury in Donald Trump’s hush money case has reached a verdict, asks for additional 30 minutes to fill out form
No verdict on day one: https://x.com/KlasfeldReports/status/1795909433114931704?t=bb1UpA-RqYwEL8E-HnNojA&s=19
@MaybeNotDepends thanks, this is my first time doing such a question. I'm obtuse, what's the benefit of doing it that way?
@Kolyin you get effectively less liquidity this way, because some of it is used up just to move each option to 100%/6 from 50%. Less liquidity makes it less appealing for early traders.
In this case, that was me, I bet them all down 50%>28%, which is basically a risk-free 40% for me. If you want, I'll cash those back out and put it into a subsidy for this market.
@robm Thanks for the explanation and the offer, but no need--seems like a reasonable reward for policing an inefficiency in the market.
@Kolyin Also FWIW, while dependent MC has an advantage in liquidity (and sure is probably better suited to this), some people prefer independent MC in cases like this anyways so that you can resolve individual days early