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Nov 7
64%
New Jersey
63%
Minnesota
56%
Virginia
54%
Pennsylvania
54%
New Mexico
54%
Michigan
52%
Nevada
50%
Wisconsin
46%
Florida
46%
Ohio
46%
Arizona
44%
Texas
44%
Montana
36%
West Virginia
34%
Utah
28%
Maine

Each answer will resolve to the percentage of the vote that the Democratic candidate receives in that particular Senate race.

For example, if the Democrat gets 52% of the vote, then their option will resolve to 52%, meaning that if you had 100 shares invested in YES, you would earn 52 manna. I will always round the percentages as precisely as Manifold allows me to.

If no candidate runs on the Democratic ticket for a state, the answer would resolve to 0%. If multiple candidates are on the Democratic ticket, the answer would resolve to the highest percent-getter of the Democrats. If the election is held through ranked-choice voting, the answer would resolve to the highest percentage a Democrat gets in a round.

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