
This market resolves NO if I discover the outcome of the above question 14 days after its resolution, and YES if I do not discover the outcome within that time frame.
Why YES: I’m not a heavy Manifold user. I have push notifications turned off. I only joined this week in response to the elections. It’s possible that I might forget about Manifold completely. (Please ping me at kimmy@kjwilber.org to resolve this market in case I forget.)
Why NO: I am curious about the outcome of the above question, so I’m likely to check if I remember. I do not plan on changing my behavior. I may still use Manifold during this time. If I do, I’m likely to see the outcome of that question in my notifications.
(update 11/11 1:40pm: oops i got the above bullet points swapped, apologies for the confusion. i'm new to prediction markets, please be kind <3)
Special exception: if someone emails me at the above email address to tell me the result of the question, I will resolve to N/A with prejudice.
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5 | Ṁ10 |