Will the State of the Union Address on March 1, 2022 include a declaration of victory over COVID-19?
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This market resolves to "YES" on March 2, 11:59PM EST if President Biden makes any claim during the 2022 SOTU Address that COVID-19 is no longer a threat, using language similar to "the nation has DEFEATED COVID" or "we can now declare victory over COVID" or "the long national nightmare of COVID is finally over". High five for those predicting "YES" if you also predict the exact phrasing!
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So obviously this is subjective, but it really seems to me like Biden is not declaring victory here? Shortly after the part Voxette quoted above there's more about specific programs to help fight the virus, hopes that Congress will provide funding for new anti-virus programs, etc. Biden even says "We’ll continue to combat the virus as we do other diseases. And because this virus mutates and spreads, we have to stay on guard."
I do think the speech is *optimistic* on COVID, but I think it's quite different from saying we've "defeated" COVID, that it's "no longer a threat", that it's "finally over", etc. -- instead it's "a new moment in the fight against COVID-19" -- an optimistic moment, but not one of complete victory.
Ultimately KevinSmith will decide but I do not think this speech claims that COVID is no longer a threat, but rather something that "we’ll continue to combat" and "have to stay on guard" against.