See https://old.reddit.com/r/formula1/comments/1ibr3dr/haas_or_williams_who_do_you_think_is_more_likely/

Could be in the 2025 season or later seasons. Must be a real race, not a sprint race.

Resolves once race results are finalized, but not weeks later - if Williams finished 4th but gets a podium because the 3rd place finisher did not have enough fuel, that will resolve Yes.

If the 3rd place finisher tests positive for steroids weeks or months later and their season results are voided, granting Haas a retroactive podium - that is not sufficient to resolve the question.