The warthunder forums are famous for leaking classified manuals about the millitary hardware represented in the game.

Last known leak before opening this bet (DEC 19, 2023): https://taskandpurpose.com/news/leaked-bradley-documents-war-thunder-forums-again/

This will resolve YES when a credible publication publishes an article outlining an instance where classified manuals or other material are posted on the warthunder forums. The material must be currently classified and not a historical document.

Leaks that are not technically classified but are otherwise legally restricted (such as the bradley documents described in the article above) will still count as long as they generate media coverage and trigger removal from the forums by the warthunder mods.

This will resolve NO on March 1, 2024 if this does not happen before then.