Will the warthunder forums leak classified information before March 1, 2024?
51
1kṀ5492
resolved Mar 1
Resolved
NO

The warthunder forums are famous for leaking classified manuals about the millitary hardware represented in the game.

Last known leak before opening this bet (DEC 19, 2023): https://taskandpurpose.com/news/leaked-bradley-documents-war-thunder-forums-again/

This will resolve YES when a credible publication publishes an article outlining an instance where classified manuals or other material are posted on the warthunder forums. The material must be currently classified and not a historical document.

Leaks that are not technically classified but are otherwise legally restricted (such as the bradley documents described in the article above) will still count as long as they generate media coverage and trigger removal from the forums by the warthunder mods.

This will resolve NO on March 1, 2024 if this does not happen before then.

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thanks everyone, gotta say I'm a bit surprised but it looks like the forums have been relatively well behaved recently. Bradley leak was the last one which was before this opened.

hey yall I'm on top of this just checking evidence now

@KennethAnderson oh hell yeah, thank you. I think we saw a lack of trades and figured this market needed a hand.

(deleted - Semiotic is handling this one)

I am fairly confident there haven't been any since the M2A2 Bradley leak, which happened just before this market was created (and presumably spurred its creation). Mod Resolving NO in a few hours if nobody has any objections.

@SemioticRivalry ah haha you got here first. your lead!

bought Ṁ5 YES

I don't want to believe this but leaks are so common in our generation guys

predictedYES

@BetsByAnon yep this doesn't meet the standard.

predictedYES

I'm clarifying this - if it meets the bar of removal from the forums by WT forum mods and generates media coverage, it counts. The last leak which I linked was technically not "classified" but instead "export restricted" in US parlance, but regardless sharing it on the forums was likely not legal and is in the spirit of the question.

predictedNO

@KennethAnderson I'm trying to get some suggested definitions written down, primarily as a way of helping people think about question writing. I added some thoughts on "classified" for stuff like this, would love input if you want!
https://manifoldcommunity.miraheze.org/wiki/Glossary

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