Will a US state legislature refuse to recognise the popular vote winner in the state in the 2024 Presidential Election?
26
34
Ṁ600Ṁ350
Dec 31
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Yes if a US state legislature votes to give the electoral votes to a candidate who was not the generally recognised popular vote winner in the state or refuses to give the electoral votes at all.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
@NickHeinonen, you'll want to extend the market's close date to late 2024, it's currently set to end of 2023.
Related questions
Will the winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election also win the popular vote?
70% chance
Will the losing candidate in the 2024 presidential election refuse to concede defeat?
41% chance
Will a candidate in the 2024 US presidential election attempt to overturn or invalidate its result?
63% chance
Will at least five candidates win at least 1% of the national popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
9% chance
Will there be a split between the popular vote and the electoral college in 2024?
23% chance
Will the Democratic candidate win the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election?
68% chance
Will the US 2024 presidential election go the way of the popular vote?
76% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have won the popular vote?
39% chance
Will the Democratic candidate's popular vote exceed Republican candidate's popular vote in 2024 Presidential election?
72% chance
Will any candidate receive more than 45% of the popular vote in the 2024 presidential election?
86% chance