Which years will Toronto Maple Leafs win a playoffs series?

Question

Each year resolves Yes if Toronto Maple Leafs win their first round series in the NHL Playoffs. If they don't make playoffs or don't win any games, it resolves No. For partial success it will resolve to a %:

75% if they win 3 games.
50% if they win 2 games.
25% if they win 1 game.

75% if they win 3 games.

50% if they win 2 games.

25% if they win 1 game.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 2027, followed by 2028 and 2026 are most likely. See the market for live updates (9 traders, as of Apr 4, 2026).

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