Will Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) close higher than the previous day?
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54%
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January 22

Apple Inc - Resolves to Nasdaq Historical Data

  • AAPL closes at 4pm ET

  • Each day resolves YES if AAPL increases from the previous day; Resolves NO if lower or flat

  • Accounts for stock splits and dividends

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@KeenenW Although it's technically (barely) down from yesterday's close, holders at yesterday's close (or rather before today's open) may be up (currently +1¢) thanks to the 25¢ ex-div today (record date is Monday) . This is why it shows as up in most sites eg. Google, Yahoo!, CNBC. I assume you will not adjust for the dividend, as the description seems pretty clear.

sold Ṁ1 YES

@deagol ah now it's up even without the 0.25 :)

bought Ṁ5 NO

@deagol and closed down even with the div lol

@deagol Looks like Nasdaq already accounts for the dividend. AAPL dropped $0.52 from yesterday's close, but the reported change is only -$0.27

@KeenenW They account for it in the quote for the day's change, but not in the historical data (link in description). But that's the question, which change does this market resolve to. Luckily no ambiguity today, but just by a hair. We should iron it out for the future.

  • Each day resolves YES if AAPL increases from the previous day; Resolves NO if lower or flat

Given this is a point within the "resolves to" link, I'd interpret it as using the historical closing data in that linked table, not the daily quotes. I see nothing in the description about adjusting for dividends, although yes for splits (which of course makes perfect sense).

@deagol Ahh okay, Yeah I'll change the description to account for dividends too

@KeenenW Can you resolve last four days? Thanks.

bought Ṁ494 NO

@KeenenW ping... sorry to pester you but capital needs are kinda high atm. Thanks!

@deagol No need to apologize, I'll do a better job at keeping these resolved

@KeenenW thanks, and I must say you're already doing a pretty good job compared to a few others. Greatly appreciate the quick response and resolutions. :)

bought Ṁ200 YES

You should resolve before adding the new set, sorry couldn't help it 🙂

@KeenenW will you reopen for tomorrow, or maybe you need a mod to do it?

yeah gonna need a @mods to open this thing back up

done

@PuckMinder again ;)

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