Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if TSLA closes below $300 at any point. Resolution will be verified using NASDAQ exchange data for the TSLA ticker. The market resolves NO if TSLA never falls below $300. Check closing prices at major financial data sources like MarketWatch, Yahoo Finance, or NASDAQ.

Background

TSLA is currently trading at $404.08 as of November 15, 2025. Over the past 52 weeks, Tesla shares have traded between $214.25 and $488.54, meaning a drop to $300 would represent a decline of approximately 26% from current levels. Sales in China—Tesla's second-largest market—have dropped to their lowest level in three years.

Considerations

Analyst price forecasts for 2025 range from $357.00–$482.00, with consensus 2025 price prediction at $376.58. However, Tesla's 52-week low of $214.25 demonstrates the stock's historical volatility, suggesting significant downside moves are possible under adverse conditions.