On Jan 28, SB244 / HB 2426 passed the Kansas house and senate and now heads to the governorâs desk. Among other things, it :
gives a private right of action for people to sue other people in public or private bathrooms who (they believe) do not match the bathroomâs gender;
requires gender non-conforming people to surrender their government identity documents in the case of a perceived mismatch
(above is my interpretation)
Reporting:
Kansas Advancing Anti-Trans Bill Allowing Bounty Hunters to Patrol Private Business Bathrooms, Erin in the Morning
âThis bill spits on basic human decencyâ: Kansas Legislature passes bathroom ban without hearing, Kansas Reflector
The raw bill text:
One relevant part:

đ Resolution will prefer reporting from trans-aligned news sources, like Erin in the Morning, Them, or Alejandra Caraballo, in addition to mainstream or local news. Resolution that mentions social media may draw anecdotes from Bluesky, X, threads, etc.
Bring everything to the comments for consideration, even extremist sources from either side.
I may call bullshit on obviously fake anecdotes.
This is a âwill XYZ happenâ market, not a âwhose fault is itâ market, which should hopefully aid objectivity.,
đ If the bill does not make it into law, the later questions referring to its effects will resolve NO, unless otherwise stated.
đ I am trans. I donât live in Kansas. I wonât bet on this market.
There is intentional ambiguity around what counts as a âbathroom incident.â Letâs debate in the comments on a case by case basis. To me, a bathroom incident:
broadly involves at least two people
at least one of whom is offended by another personâs appearance/behavior/gender
involves speculation about whether somebody is trans
either occurs in Kansas, or wouldnât otherwise be notable âbut forâ this law
broadly results in claimed harm
Most bathroom interactions are mundane and do not rise to the level of incidents. For example, finding a widely circulated social media post like âsaw an ugly person in my gym bathroom this morningâ doesnât meet this bar unless itâs connected to being trans or connected to this law. A post about "i saw someone in my bathroom, is she secretly a man??" COULD count, if it's notable enough to rise to a level beyond interpersonal squabble (eg. it's widely reposted or reported). A news headline saying "person in bathroom escorted out of premises under suspicion for being the wrong gender" would easily count as the prototypical definition I had in mind.
For the "inspection/enforcement" question: bathrooms are not generally guarded or actively inspected in Kansas. Seeing posts like "these guys say they're protecting women by guarding the bathroom" or "this computerized system makes sure only women can use the womens' bathroom" would count, especially if widely reposted or reported.
Update 2026-01-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer "The veto will be overridden by a 2/3 majority" will resolve N/A if there is no veto.
I made this market because Iâm seeing some coverage of this in trans news circles and Kansas local news, but thereâs not much coverage outside of them.
Wanted to bring it to Manifold, see what you all think!