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MANIFOLD
Which U.S. Ski Resort Will Open First in 2026?
3
Ṁ1kṀ59
Nov 30
31%
Keystone Ski Area
21%
Loveland Ski Area
31%
Arapahoe Basin Ski Area
18%
Someplace Else

"Open" is defined as open to the public for continuous operation for the season with at least one chairlift (rope tows don't count).

Resolution criteria

  • This market resolves to the first U.S. ski resort that opens to the public for continuous operations for the 2026/2027 ski season.

  • "Open" is defined as officially open to the general public for continuous operation for the season with at least one chairlift operating (rope tows and surface lifts do not count).

  • Continuous operation means the resort must remain open daily (or for its planned consecutive weekly schedule) following the opening date. Limited-time previews, single-day soft launches, or weekend-only openings that do not transition immediately into continuous weekly/daily operations do not qualify.

  • If two or more resorts open on the exact same calendar day, the resort that spins its first public chairlift earliest in local time wins. If a precise time tie cannot be broken, the market will resolve proportionally.

  • Resolution will be based on official announcements from the resorts' websites/social media channels, verified by reports from reputable ski industry outlets such as GearJunkie,SnowBrains, POWDER Magazine, or OnTheSnow.

  • If any resort other than Keystone Ski Area, Loveland Ski Area, or Arapahoe Basin Ski Area opens first, the market resolves to Someplace Else.

Background

  • The annual "race to open" in the United States is traditionally contested by high-altitude Colorado resorts, with Keystone, Arapahoe Basin, and Loveland frequently trading the title.

  • In the 2025/2026 season, Keystone Resort claimed the title of first to open in North America on October 25, 2025, narrowly beating Arapahoe Basin.

  • Some East Coast or Midwest resorts occasionally attempt extremely early openings using specialized all-weather snowmaking technology, but these often rely on rope tows or temporary operations that may not meet the chairlift and continuous operation criteria of this market.

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